BLOGS

FROM THE DESK OF KEVIN BEAMON

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TRUSTED ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVES

Waiting on the Fed

Waiting on the Fed

One of our main contentions in recent months is that the Federal Reserve, by switching from a scarce reserve model to an abundant reserve model, has completely taken over the short term interest rates marketplace…

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The Worst Malinvestment

The Worst Malinvestment

Austrian Economics argues that growth comes from innovation and entrepreneurship, with “the market” directing resources to areas of the economy that provide the greatest returns. It also observes that when government uses interest rates, subsidies, taxes, or other...

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OUTLOOK

Outlook 2024: A Turning Point

Outlook 2024: A Turning Point

In 2024, we believe markets will make a definitive turn to a more recognizable place. En route, the transition will be marked by meaningful shifts in a few key areas. Inflation is going down. The risk of a recession is bubbling up again as the effect of post-pandemic...

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Battle of the Budget

Battle of the Budget

The US has enough revenue to pay all bondholders, but a roughly $1.5 trillion deficit this year means that if the debt ceiling isn’t lifted, it won’t be able to pay all its obligations, maybe even entitlement payments under Medicare, Medicaid, or Social Security.

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Closer to a Turning Point April 24, 2023

Closer to a Turning Point April 24, 2023

In spite of weakness in some economic data, problems in the banking sector, and much higher interest rates, real GDP in the first quarter will almost certainly show moderate growth. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 is 15% higher than its low point in October 2022. And, now,...

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CLIENT LETTER

FINRA Resources For Investors

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