BLOGS
FROM THE DESK OF KEVIN BEAMON
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TRUSTED ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVES
Waiting on the Fed
One of our main contentions in recent months is that the Federal Reserve, by switching from a scarce reserve model to an abundant reserve model, has completely taken over the short term interest rates marketplace…
The Worst Malinvestment
Austrian Economics argues that growth comes from innovation and entrepreneurship, with “the market” directing resources to areas of the economy that provide the greatest returns. It also observes that when government uses interest rates, subsidies, taxes, or other...
Slower Growth in Q4, But No Recession
The economy slowed substantially in the last quarter of 2023 from the rapid pace of the third quarter, but, as we explain below, still expanded at a moderate rate.
OUTLOOK
Outlook 2024: A Turning Point
In 2024, we believe markets will make a definitive turn to a more recognizable place. En route, the transition will be marked by meaningful shifts in a few key areas. Inflation is going down. The risk of a recession is bubbling up again as the effect of post-pandemic...
Battle of the Budget
The US has enough revenue to pay all bondholders, but a roughly $1.5 trillion deficit this year means that if the debt ceiling isn’t lifted, it won’t be able to pay all its obligations, maybe even entitlement payments under Medicare, Medicaid, or Social Security.
Closer to a Turning Point April 24, 2023
In spite of weakness in some economic data, problems in the banking sector, and much higher interest rates, real GDP in the first quarter will almost certainly show moderate growth. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 is 15% higher than its low point in October 2022. And, now,...
CLIENT LETTER
Client Letter | Midyear Outlook 2022: Navigating Turbulence | July 12, 2022
LPL Research assesses economic and market conditions for the rest of 2022.
Client Letter | Looking Forward | July 5, 2022
Both stock and bond markets have been challenging this year, but LPL Research explains what this could mean looking forward.
Client Letter | A Bear Market is Officially Here | June 14, 2022
LPL Research discusses what investors should expect with the new bear market.
FINRA Resources For Investors
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