BLOGS
FROM THE DESK OF THE CWS TEAM
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TRUSTED ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVES
Monday Morning Outlook – Finally, Election Eve
It’s almost over! Unfortunately, those texts might not stop right away. Unless this election is an unexpected blowout, some key states won’t have full counts of all their ballots for several days. That said, enough results from some hotly contested states like...
Monday Morning Outlook – The Budget Blowout
With only one week left in the fiscal year, it looks like the budget deficit for the federal government for Fiscal Year 2024 is going to come in at about $1.9 trillion, which is 6.7% of GDP. To put this in historical perspective, we know of no other year in US history...
It’s Money, Not Spending, that Causes Inflation
You don’t have to read or listen for long these days before you hear a politician, pundit, or politically-inclined person say: “Government spending causes inflation.” Don’t get us wrong…anyone who wants to cut the size and scope of government is a friend of ours....
OUTLOOK
Continued Growth in Q1
The economy continued to grow in the first quarter at what we estimate is a 2.6% annual rate. That’s a slowdown from the 3.1% rate in 2023, but still good compared to the past couple of decades when the average growth rate has been 2.0%. However, we think a chunk of...
Slower Growth in Q4, But No Recession
The economy slowed substantially in the last quarter of 2023 from the rapid pace of the third quarter, but, as we explain below, still expanded at a moderate rate.
A Mild Recession and S&P 4,500
For 2022, we saw inflation and continued moderate growth. We were right. This past year, in 2023, we anticipated economic weakness late in the year, and put our S&P 500 target at 3,900.
CLIENT LETTER
Client Letter | Better Times Ahead | September 28, 2022
LPL Research discusses elevated uncertainty in financial markets due to high inflation and rising interest rates.
Client Letter | The Best and Worst of Times | September 7, 2022
When it comes to stock market performance, August was “the best of times, and the worst of times.
Client Letter | Big Week for Market Watchers | August 3, 2022
LPL Research discusses why last week was epic for market-watchers, as wells as what could be in store for August.
FINRA Resources For Investors
Fraud Victim Empowerment – FINRA
Empowerment After Financial Fraud Many victims feel helpless after experiencing fraud. Not only do you have to overcome the financial loss, but you might also be experiencing a tremendous emotional impact. Master Manipulators Scammers are master manipulators. They use...
Investor Alert: Relationship Investment Scams
The SEC’s Office of Investor Education and Advocacy (OIEA), the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s Office of Customer Education and Outreach (OCEO), the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA) and the North American Securities Administrators Association...