Monetary Muddle

The Federal Reserve raised short-term interest rates by three-quarters of a percentage point (75 basis points) on Wednesday. The day before, the Fed had released M2 money supply data for June and it fell slightly, the second decline in three months. At his press...

Respect the Bear

We became bullish about stocks once mark-to market accounting was fixed in March 2009. We were also bullish after COVID-19 hit. We got called “perma-bulls,” but as we look back at the low interest rates and healthy profit growth, we don’t see any other course to have...

50 or More?

All eyes will be on the results of the Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday when it announces how much it’s going to raise short-term rates, its new projections for the economy and short-term rates for the next few years, as well as Chairman Powell’s press conference....

No Hurricane, Yet

JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon caused a stir lately when he talked about a “hurricane” hitting the US economy. We think he may eventually be right, but is way too early. The employment report for May confirmed that the US economy continues to grow. Both major measures of...

Focus on the Money, Not Rates

No one can say that the Federal Reserve can’t do the impossible. At long last observers from across the political spectrum agree on one thing – that Jerome Powell and the Fed are well behind the inflation curve and have a lot of catching up to do. These days, that’s...